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Open Question: Any doubters out there that Fred Flintstone was going to win the 2010 Royal Rumble? (BQ'S inside)? and more... Open Question: Any doubters out there that Fred Flintstone was going to win the 2010 Royal Rumble? (BQ'S inside)?Fred Flintstone and Kyle Massey were the last two superstars in the match. Fred wins after after a Sweet Chin Music to eliminate Kyle. BQ1: Who is Fred going to face at Wrestlemania XIV? T.K. Takaishi, T-Bone, or Martin Brewer? BQ2: When is Misty Flintstone going to return to the Los Angeles Wrestling Academy? BQ3: Since the Royal Rumble Match was Kyle Massey's last fought wrestling match in the Los Angeles Wrestling Academy, who is he going to hand the Presidency of RAW to? Open Question: Records versus winning and losing teams (inspired by LITY)?LITY asked a great question yesterday about why Caps fans should (not) believe that their team will win the Cup this year. http://answers.yahoo.com/question/index;_ylt=AjThHeL_e7dDB7SGiS.TCtkAAAAA;_ylv=3?qid=20100208111029AASjNb2 He pointed out that the Caps have a great record against losing teams but have an unspectacular record against teams above .500 (more wins than losses). Many have also said before that the Caps are in the Southeast Division and beat up on their lousy division rivals. There is no denying this since they have a 13-2 division record, best in the NHL. But I wanted to extend this analysis to include all the best teams in the NHL, which most people agree to be Washington, San Jose, and Chicago. LITY apparently showed that Washington has an ordinary record against good teams, but nothing can be really said about this if there is no context for comparison. How do the other great teams do against teams with winning records? Before I start, however, I want to make a few changes in my approach. LITY used the simple measure of wins and losses, using the teams' records at the time two teams played. He also counted overtime and shootout losses the same as regulation losses. There is a slight problem with this. The game could have been all the way back in October when the teams had only played a handful of games. So by this method, Atlanta and the NY Rangers are considered winning teams because they were winning teams back in October (they had more wins than losses at that point, but had only played about five games). Overtime and shootout losses are not equivalent to regulation losses of course because of the one point received. This is why I don't agree with this. I will use point percentage, which is basically equivalent to the traditional winning percentage, but takes into account the point gained in overtime or shootout losses. Hopefully all of you are familiar with point percentage. Overtime and shootout wins count as regular wins (2 points), as it does in the standings. So a 4-2-2 record would yield a point percentage of .625, which means that over an 82-game season, a team with the same record would get about 103 points. Here is the point percentage for all 30 teams in the league, as of yesterday's games: http://www.nhl.com/ice/teamstats.htm?fetchKey=20102ALLAAAAll&sort=pointPctg&viewName=summary Going with what I said earlier, Washington, San Jose, and Chicago have the best records in the league, with point percentages of .746, .737, and .698, respectively. The next best drops down to .642 (PHX), so there is some separation between these three teams and the rest of the league. The average point percentage in the NHL is .559, which means that the average team will get about 92 points over the entire regular season. You can think that .559 in the NHL is equivalent to the classic .500 mark in other sports, where there are only wins and losses. So I will separate the league into two groups: those above .559 (winning teams) and those below .559 (losing teams). There are only five winning teams from the East (WAS, NJ, BUF, PIT, OTT) and eight from the West (the playoff teams in the West if the season ended today). Surprisingly, Detroit is a losing team, but only just (.552). So I compiled two lists of the five best records against winning and losing teams. Here's how it came out: Best records against winning teams (≥ .559 teams) 1. Washington Capitals: 28-10-3 (.720) 2. San Jose Sharks: 17-7-4 (.679) 3. Vancouver: 16-8-2 (.654) 4. Chicago: 16-8-3 (.648) 5. Phoenix: 14-9-3 (0.596) *Pittsburgh has a record of 6-12-2 (.350!) against winning teams. Best records against losing teams (< .559 teams) 1. San Jose: 22-3-6 (.806) 2. Washington: 13-2-3 (.806) 3. Pittsburgh: 29-10 (.744) 4. Chicago: 22-7-2 (.742) 5. Los Angeles: 23-9-1 (0.712) This took me FOREVER to make because I had to go through the game-by-game schedule of the thirteen teams that I mentioned above, but I only listed the top five. I'm only human and I may have made a mistake, so feel free to point it out if you see one. So Washington does in fact have the best record against winning teams, and by a fair margin, and is also tied for the best record against losing teams. It's no surprise then that they are sitting atop of the league standings. Here are some other facts in support of Washington's Stanley Cup bid: 1.By far the highest-scoring team in the league with 3.90 goals per game 2.Best power play in the league (teams will think twice about taking penalties) 3.Arguably has the most offensive depth in the league, with 6 players with 40 points or more and 4 players with 20 goals or more 4.Best even-strength team in the league (highly correlated to winning), with a best-in-league 1.65 goals for/against ratio. Again, this is best in the league by a mile; San Jose is next-best with 1.37. 5. Intangibles -Experience of the Eastern Conference Finals last year -Have learned "how t More Recent Articles
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